Nfl Predictions Spreadsheet

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• Week 4 of the NFL season is upon us. I provide the spreads and my predictions for this upcoming week. It was bound to happen, but COVID-19 has officially altered the NFL's weekly schedule.

SEATTLE, WASHINGTON – SEPTEMBER 27: Russell Wilson #3 of the Seattle Seahawks scrambles in the second quarter against the Dallas Cowboys at CenturyLink Field on September 27, 2020 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Abbie Parr/Getty Images)

Week 4 of the NFL season is upon us. I provide the spreads and my predictions for this upcoming week.

It was bound to happen, but COVID-19 has officially altered the NFL's weekly schedule. With several Tennessee Titans players testing positive, the league has postponed the Titans-Steelers until later this season. The Vikings-Texans game is still scheduled for Sunday afternoon. Hopefully, this is the last 'outbreak' of the season, but it is encouraging to see how quickly the NFL has reacted to the situation in hopes to contain it and go on with the season with as few hiccups as possible.

As always, this is a weekly article posted every Friday morning where I give my predictions for the upcoming week as well as the spreads that I will be choosing. So without further ado, let's dive right in.

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND – SEPTEMBER 28: Quarterback Lamar Jackson #8 of the Baltimore Ravens rolls out to pass against the Kansas City Chiefs in the second half at M&T Bank Stadium on September 28, 2020 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)

Ravens(-13.5) at Washington

Pick: Ravens-13.5

Prediction: Ravens 38 – Washington 17

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Analysis: No offense to Dwayne Haskins, but I'm pretty sure my grandpa (who's 82 years young, turning 83 later this month (Happy early Birthday!)) could've played better than Haskins last week. This is a get right game for the Ravens as they steamroll the Washington Football Team. This game is similar to last week when the Colts laid 11 to 12 points against the Jets and ended up beating them by 29. This game will not be close. Ravens by a million.

Saints (-4.5) at Lions

Pick: Saints-4.5

Prediction: Saints 31 Lions 21

Analysis: The Saints need to win this game, and they are the better team. With the likely return of Michael Thomas, the Saints will steamroll the Lions. The Saints can't afford falling to 1-3 and Drew Brees won't let em. If the Saints were their usual selves this year, this spread would be 6-7 points. Take the Saints and don't think twice.

Chargers at Buccaneers (-7)

Pick: Buccaneers-7

Prediction: Buccaneers 28 Chargers 17

Analysis: For a team that came into the season as hyped as the Buccaneers, it is crazy to think that they are underrated right now. Sure, Chris Godwin (and potentially Leonard Fournette) will miss this game, but I don't even want to begin listing all the Chargers' injuries. Half their defensive starters are out this game. This should be an easy cover and win for the Bucs. Their underrated defense will give Justin Herbert the same problems that the Panthers did in Week 3.

PHILADELPHIA, PA – SEPTEMBER 27: Jalen Hurts #2 of the Philadelphia Eagles talks to Joe Burrow #9 of the Cincinnati Bengals after the game at Lincoln Financial Field on September 27, 2020 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images)

Jaguars at Bengals(-3)

Pick: Bengals-3

Prediction: Bengals 27- Jaguars 20

Analysis: This game is a true toss-up. Both of these teams are not good. I have more faith when the game is on the line to put the ball in Joe Burrow's hands than I do Gardner Minshew. The Jaguars were demolished in Week 3 by the lowly Dolphins, while the Bengals squeaked away with a tie with the Eagles. I will not watch a minute of this game, but the box score should show a Bengals victory by 3+.

Vikings at Texans(-4.5)

Pick: Vikings+4.5

Prediction: Texans 28 – Vikings 24.

Analysis: This is assuming the game is played on Sunday, which it is trending in that direction. The Texans and Vikings can't stop a nosebleed. Both of these defenses (and teams in general) are not good. I can't lay 4.5 points to the Texans just to see them lose by 10. I still believe the Texans win in a close game, but certainly they aren't blowing out the Vikings.

Seahawks (-7) at Dolphins

Pick: Seahawks-7

Prediction: Seahawks 31-Dolphins 17

Analysis: Can't overthink this one. The Seahawks are clearly the better team. Even with injuries to Chris Carson and Jamal Adams, the Seahawks are far more talented. Russell Wilson has lit up the entire league through 3 weeks to the tune of 14 touchdowns and 1 interception. He will have his way with the Dolphins defense as the Seahawks win big.

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CLEVELAND, OHIO – SEPTEMBER 27: Wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. #13 of the Cleveland Browns celebrates on the sidelines after his teammates snagged an interception during the first half against the Washington Football Team at FirstEnergy Stadium on September 27, 2020 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images)

Browns at Cowboys(-5)

Pick: Cowboys-5

Prediction: Cowboys 34 – Browns 24

Analysis: If the Cowboys aren't covering 5 points, they are losing outright. The Cowboys offense is explosive, and the Browns rely too much on the ground and pound. If the Cowboys score early and force the Browns to play from behind, I don't have faith in Baker to keep up the scoring efforts. Cowboys win by a touchdown+ as they get back on track and take the division lead.

Cardinals(-3.5) at Panthers

Pick: Cardinals-3.5

Prediction: Cardinals 34 Panthers 20

Analysis: Similar to the Seahawks-Dolphins Game, we can't overthink this one. The Panthers had their best game of the season beating the injured Chargers. Kyler Murray and Kenyan Drake have a field day against the porous Panthers defense. This game isn't even close like the spread suggests.

Colts(-2.5) at Bears

Pick: Bears+2.5

Prediction: Bears 20 – Colts 17

Analysis: The Bears are arguably the worst 3-0 team in the history of the NFL, and that's why we have to take them. The Bears have finally benched Trubisky, so this is the game that puts Mitch in the coffin. I can't trust Philip Rivers to win on the road while he's constantly under pressure from Khalil Mack. This will be a close game, but the Bears pull out the win on a late Philip Rivers interception….it's what he does!

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND – SEPTEMBER 28: Quarterback Patrick Mahomes #15 hand the ball off to running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire #25 of the Kansas City Chiefs against the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium on September 28, 2020 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)

Giants at Rams(-13)

Pick: Rams -13

Prediction: Rams 31 – Giants 10

Analysis: Have you seen the Giants play? If yes, you'd take the Rams in a heartbeat. The Giants are terrible. The only thing holding their season up is the fact that the team they share their stadium with, the Jets, is that much worse than they are. Daniel Jones will constantly be running for his life from Aaron Donald. You just can't take the Giants with any sort of confidence. Rams win big, like the spread suggests.

Patriots at Chiefs (-6.5)

Pick: Chiefs -6.5

Prediction: Chiefs 34 – Patriots 20

Analysis: Vegas got cute last week making the Chiefs underdogs only to see them run wild against the Ravens. This line is giving the Patriots too much respect. The Chiefs are clearly the better team, and I am not convinced Cam Newton can keep up the scoring against this Chiefs Offense. Sure, he was able to do it against the Seahawks, but your local high school team has a better defense than Seattle. The Chiefs defense is underrated. It is not great, but it doesn't have to be when they have Patrick Mahomes on the other side of the ball. Chiefs win by 10+.

Bills(-3) at Raiders

Pick: Bills-3

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Prediction: Bills 24 – Raiders 17

Analysis: I'll be the first to admit, I was wrong about the Bills. They look legit this year, yet they are only laying 3 points to the Raiders who just lost by 16 to the Patriots. This feels like a trap game, but I am not going to sleep well at night knowing I picked Raiders+3 and they got spanked by Josh Allen and Co. Take the Bills and go on with your weekend.

NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA – SEPTEMBER 27: Aaron Jones #33 of the Green Bay Packers runs the ball against the New Orleans Saints during the second half at Mercedes-Benz Superdome on September 27, 2020 in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Photo by Sean Gardner/Getty Images)

Eagles at 49ers(-7)

Pick: 49ers -7

Prediction: 49ers 30 – Eagles 17

Analysis: This might be the least-watched Sunday Night Football in recent memory. The Eagles are atrocious. Carson Wentz is miserable. I'll cut him some slack as his WR core is equivalent to throwing me out there, but still. Despite also being banged up, the 49ers are still rolling. They have a dynamic offense and defensive scheme. The Eagles couldn't even beat the Bengals, so what makes me think they can keep this game close. I see another two interceptions from Wentz and people start calling for his job. Jalen Hurts season? We shall see. The Eagles didn't waste a second round pick on him for nothing.

Falcons at Packers(-7.5)

Pick: Falcons+7.5

Prediction: Packers 31 – Falcons 28

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Analysis: This is the perfect game for the Falcons to win/cover. They should never have a lead that they can choke away, so it bodes well for them. The Falcons will keep this game closer than it should be. There's no denying the Packers, as I am sure they want to enter their bye week 4-0. The Falcons try to spoil their plans and win outright or lose by a late field goal or touchdown.

Here's to hoping we make some money in Week 4! Be back next week same time, Friday morning.

• Point Spread: The point spread remains the favorite way to wager on pro football, regardless of how many new forms of wagering come on stream. ItÂ’s called the line or spread and itÂ’s known as betting ‘sides.Â’ The common misconception is that Las Vegas sets the spread as its best guess at the margin of victory. But really, it's a number they feel that is a perfect balance and will see an equal number of people to bet the underdog as on the favorite. A negative value like -6.5 means that team is favored by 6.5 points. So deduct 6.5 points from their total score. A positive value on the same game would be +6.5 (add 6.5 points to their final score) and would make that team an underdog of 6.5 points. The favorite must win by at least seven points to cover the spread. The underdog can lose by six points and still cover.

• Total: Also called the over/under, it is a number set by the sportsbooks that proposes a number of points that will be scored in the game by both teams combined. Then, fans predict whether there will be more points or less points than the ‘total.Â’ If you bet the under 41.5, you are hoping for a tough defensive battle with lots of running game. Pick the over, and presumably you feel this will be a high-scoring game. In short, you are predicting whether the combined total score will be more than (over) or less than (under) the total.

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• Money Line: More common in baseball and hockey, pro football moneylines are growing in popularity. There is no spread, so your team just needs to win the game, not win by a certain number of points. The negative value means a favorite (-190) and a positive one indicates an underdog (+170). Picture the number 100 sitting in between these two values. Example: if you want to pick a -190 favorite, you must risk $190 in order to win $100. To back a +170 underdog, you put up $100 and win $170 if the dog wins. In some cases, betting moneylines is actually better value and can provide a bigger profit for less risk.